Public Good — Accelerate Global Prosperity
A new model for prediction markets that directly funds positive outcomes while maintaining market integrity and transparency.
Climate
Will global renewable capacity additions in 2025 surpass IEA 560 GW?
YES 62%NO 38%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: IEA Renewable Update
Funds: Clean Energy Access Fund
Climate
Will avg temp anomaly stay below +1.5°C through Mar 2026?
YES 41%NO 59%
Resolves: Mar 31, 2026
Source: NASA GISTEMP / NOAA
Funds: Climate Data Trust
Climate
Will U.S. solar installs exceed 50 GW in 2025?
YES 58%NO 42%
Resolves: Jan 31, 2026
Source: SEIA Quarterly
Funds: Solar Foundation
Climate
Will COP30 prep draft include a coal phase-out clause?
YES 36%NO 64%
Resolves: Mar 15, 2026
Source: UNFCCC pre-COP brief
Funds: Policy Action Lab
Health
Will WHO certify a new malaria-free country by May 2026?
YES 64%NO 36%
Resolves: May 30, 2026
Source: WHO Certification Registry
Funds: The Global Fund
Health
Will global COVID-19 hospitalizations stay >30% below 2024 through Apr 2026?
YES 55%NO 45%
Resolves: Apr 30, 2026
Source: WHO Dashboard
Funds: Pandemic Preparedness Hub
Health
Will an mRNA TB vaccine enter Phase III by Jun 2026?
YES 33%NO 67%
Resolves: Jun 30, 2026
Source: ClinicalTrials.gov
Funds: TB Innovation Alliance
Health
Will FDA approve an AI diagnostic tool for primary care by May 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: FDA 510(k)/De Novo
Funds: AI for Health Coalition
Science
Will any fusion reactor achieve sustained plasma >5 min by May 2026?
YES 27%NO 73%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: IAEA Fusion Data
Funds: Fusion Research Fund
Science
Will a major tech co. open-source an AGI-alignment model before Apr 2026?
YES 38%NO 62%
Resolves: Apr 30, 2026
Source: Company repos / PR
Funds: Open AI Safety Community
Science
Will global quantum cloud users exceed 50,000 by May 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: IBM/AWS usage reports
Funds: Quantum Education Initiative
Science
Will any city deploy >100 autonomous buses by Jun 2026?
YES 29%NO 71%
Resolves: Jun 30, 2026
Source: Municipal mobility data
Funds: Smart Transit Lab
Education
Will UNESCO update show global literacy >90% in 2026 report?
YES 47%NO 53%
Resolves: Jun 15, 2026
Source: UNESCO GEM
Funds: Room to Read
Education
Will 10+ countries adopt national AI-literacy curricula by Jun 2026?
YES 42%NO 58%
Resolves: Jun 30, 2026
Source: OECD Tracker
Funds: AI Literacy Lab
Education
Will 5M new students enroll in free online STEM by May 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: Coursera/edX
Funds: Open STEM Access Fund
Education
Will a major foundation announce a $100M+ AI-learning initiative by Jun 2026?
YES 35%NO 65%
Resolves: Jun 30, 2026
Source: Press / Foundation reports
Funds: AI Education Alliance
Society
Will the World Bank update show a decline in extreme poverty (Mar 2026)?
YES 44%NO 56%
Resolves: Mar 31, 2026
Source: Global Poverty Monitor
Funds: Economic Resilience Fund
Society
Will 3+ countries ratify the UN Plastics Treaty by May 2026?
YES 59%NO 41%
Resolves: May 31, 2026
Source: UN Treaty Collection
Funds: Ocean Cleanup Partnership
Society
Will global refugee resettlements exceed 2024 levels by Apr 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
Resolves: Apr 30, 2026
Source: UNHCR Monthly
Funds: Refugee Action Network
Society
Will 50+ cities adopt new open-data transparency laws by Jun 2026?
YES 31%NO 69%
Resolves: Jun 30, 2026
Source: Open Data Charter
Funds: Civic Transparency Fund